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2024-12-14 07:40:18

The latest high-level tuningOn December 10th, the Great Hall of the People in Beijing met with the heads of major international economic organizations who came to China to attend the "1+10" Dialogue, expressing full confidence in achieving this year's economic growth target and continuing to play the role of the biggest engine of world economic growth.Statement of work: Personal opinion, for reference only.


On December 10th, the Great Hall of the People in Beijing met with the heads of major international economic organizations who came to China to attend the "1+10" Dialogue, expressing full confidence in achieving this year's economic growth target and continuing to play the role of the biggest engine of world economic growth.Analysis of exchange rate trend


Thanks to the huge favorable blessing, today's market is once again anticlimactic, which once again disappoints retail investors. It is not surprising to say that the accident is not once or twice. But objectively speaking, this positive is indeed a real positive, and it is a medium-and long-term positive. I think we still have to treat it rationally, and institutions need to understand and reflect well. Is it necessary to go its own way? Today's trend can be said to be very ugly, so will the market have a big repair tomorrow? Let's analyze it in detail below.After the exchange rate rushed to 7.314, it began to fluctuate and weaken. As we have told you many times before, the vicinity of 7.3 is heavily guarded, and the depreciation in this area is almost in place, and there is no room for further sharp depreciation. Some time ago, around 7.3, the market began to get nervous. Instead, we clearly told everyone that this was a good thing, because the direct depreciation was in place, and the subsequent appreciation expectation was formed. From the current situation, it is really difficult for the exchange rate to weaken further. At present, the daily level has entered a short-term adjustment trend, but we should focus on observing whether it can fall below 7.258 this week. Only when it falls below, the medium-term depreciation momentum can be ended, otherwise it will be repeated.

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